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The National Federation of Independent Business Index of Small Business Optimism rose 2.1 points in May. Added to April's gain of 5.8 points, the Index has clearly bottomed (the March reading of 81.0 was less than a point away from the all-time low reading of 80.1 reached in the second quarter of 1980) and is signaling an end to the recession, according to the NFIB.

Nine of the 10 Index components were unchanged or up in May. "It does appear that the decline in spending for inventory and capital projects has bottomed and will turn up in the coming months," said NFIB chief economist William Dunkelberg. "Plans to order more inventory are 10 percentage points higher than March's low reading, and plans to make capital expenditures are four points above March readings."

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